Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 5.873070 6.448054 7.080865 7.833906 8.712111 9.712061 10.948589
2024-11-03 4.933474 5.691477 6.591796 7.758825 9.260655 11.171542 13.862534
2024-11-10 4.595327 5.493509 6.621869 8.184273 10.362797 13.415021 18.270537
2024-11-17 4.262719 5.229188 6.494651 8.337671 11.077529 15.240787 22.635465
2024-11-24 3.906383 4.881022 6.195881 8.183923 11.288212 16.321947 26.142214
2024-12-01 3.638068 4.618287 5.975477 8.096958 11.561665 17.536824 30.343362
2024-12-08 3.385887 4.352203 5.718106 7.911619 11.630065 18.391331 34.171672
2024-12-15 3.207932 4.174505 5.569106 7.870524 11.924842 19.724091 39.754723
2024-12-22 3.054497 4.019009 5.436730 7.835606 12.217098 21.119301 46.343788
2024-12-29 2.970191 3.957449 5.439792 8.022140 12.946045 23.647970 58.166694
2025-01-05 2.799159 3.754204 5.204360 7.770305 12.779053 24.085841 63.490243
2025-01-12 2.643934 3.566052 4.979778 7.515272 12.567554 24.366639 68.577610
2025-01-19 2.508140 3.408387 4.806506 7.360178 12.594303 25.414529 78.884077
2025-01-26 2.398017 3.285691 4.684048 7.290691 12.807345 27.094036 95.257092
2025-02-02 2.380399 3.305944 4.798682 7.678123 14.118095 32.558197 148.127069
2025-02-09 2.320873 3.254739 4.786797 7.817604 14.885970 36.816078 214.007890
2025-02-16 2.221977 3.133687 4.644369 7.677803 14.933107 38.602104 267.654758
2025-02-23 2.140319 3.036492 4.537130 7.598674 15.123887 41.087168 356.135349
2025-03-02 2.051673 2.923300 4.394064 7.429908 15.045258 42.471422 447.247007
2025-03-09 1.988161 2.848951 4.316236 7.392465 15.324341 45.650169 659.151534
2025-03-16 1.929802 2.780389 4.244465 7.360642 15.615958 49.159864 1053.345287
2025-03-23 1.901749 2.761684 4.263041 7.530567 16.546786 56.868859 2931.483270
2025-03-30 1.824728 2.655595 4.111905 7.301114 16.203143 57.148421 4227.549994